Maybe they went RB-heavy in the first few rounds and want to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver. Cole Beasley 33 years old. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. Young and exciting players like Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson have emerged atop the quarterback position, while the 2019 rookie wide receiver class produced quite a few names that were worthy of this list. Smith is one of the anchors of Minnesota's excellent defense, making his fifth consecutive Pro Bowl in 2019. He is just another player on the list of recent Saints draft hits. Brown, D.K. According to the source, the average career length is about 3.3 years for players across the NFL. Credit where credit is due, though. Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. Superflex Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings (2023 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (March 2023 Update), Video: Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (2023), NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of 23-26, and 87% take place prior to a player turning 29. However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. All rights reserved. When drafting a wide receiver in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Jones is already a five-time Pro Bowler, and he led the NFL with 136 receptions in 2015. Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. Top 5 WRs age 30+AJ Green, 718 yardsThielen, 686Beasley, 640M Jones, 624E Sanders, 606WRs turning 30 next year:D AdamsK AllenLockettHopkinsWoodsOBJLandryTurning 29KuppDiggsCooksEvansGolladayWatkins. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. At the same time, this is easily the most talented group of wide receivers they have had in years. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. Reggie Wayne, Randy Moss, Hines Ward, Donald Driver, Chad Johnson, and Derrick Mason were all at least 31, and had at least 1,000 yards. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. Finally, we have to talk about Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and Odell Beckham, Jr. Robert Woods - Turns 30 on April 10, 2022. In dynasty, you should be playing with a three-year window in mind, and if this chart highlights anything, its that hell have another three years of top-24 production. Tate is out of the NFL this year, so his career ended at 32. Who could have had a better argument as the next Chad Johnson or a mini-me version of Terrell Owens? He put . Bosas 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders. Ill either debunk them as something someone made up one day that everyone believed to be true, or Ill prove theyre right. Top-24? When drafting a player in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. That could certainly be part of it, but the truth is, there were other contributing factors from injury to brutal quarterback play on the least efficient offense in the NFL. Unfortunatelyand this is something that analytics seems to consistently misshistory does not predict the future. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. Wide receivers dont necessarily have to be straight speed demons although it certainly doesnt hurt if theyre blazing fast. He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Hilton (31). He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. Maybe they will. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. At what age do certain positions start falling off? Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. Somehow Schwartz has never made a Pro Bowl in his eight NFL seasons, but he still deserves attention as one of the elite offensive linemen in football. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb may be the top trio in all of the NFL. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. His numbers werent just impressive compared to rookies, either. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. From age 28 through 31, we see three of the top four percentages on the chart. Of the 69 wide receivers to play at age 29, weve watched 11.6 percent of them finish as a top-five fantasy option, the highest mark on the chart, putting the idea that wide receivers fall off at age 28 to bed. This Sundays game between the Rams and Vikings will feature the top two receivers in the NFL in receiving yards, each on one end of the twenties spectrum: Cooper Kupp has 1,625 yards at age 28, Justin Jefferson has 1,335 yards at age 22. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. Davante Adams, 29 Deebo Samuel, 25 Tyreek Hill, 27 Ja'Marr Chase, 21 Keenan Allen, 29 Stefon Diggs, 28 Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, that's eight solid receivers that virtually everyone. Winning in the trenches at a young age is not easy to do. Brown and McLaurin. Probably the greatest wide receiver from 2013-2018 (ages 25-30), Brown averaged 114 receptions, 1,524 yards, and 11 touchdowns per season over those six seasons, all with the Steelers. He's posted over 100 tackles in consecutive seasons and was an All-Pro at age 30 last year, with 111 tackles, four sacks and 12 passes defensed. Following that dip to only thirteen 1,000-yard wideouts in 2017, the number went back up to 18 in 2018, then 25 (nearly double the 2017 total) in 2019. If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. When will Rams pick center of the future? And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Nelson was about as easy an NFL projection as you can get coming out of Notre Dame, and its no surprise that he has wasted no time in cementing his spot as one of the best guards in the NFL. Do you expect Justin Jefferson to be capable of starting for the Vikings in 2033, when he will be 35? He turns 32 in November. Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Quickness is what a wide receiver will use more often than speed. It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. Browns downfall began during the Steelers-Raiders-Patriots mayhem of 2019 and since then his numbers are: 14 games, 78 catches, 957 yards in three seasons. A more magnified peak is in the 25 to 29 range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside. The most polarizing offensive line prospect of the draft, Rams must be cautious if they trade back at 36, Rams cant trade out of talent if they trade back from 36th overall, Random Ramsdom: Rams grab o-lineman in latest Sporting News mock draft, Waynes career spanned 14 seasons, all with the Colts, and he was 36 in his final season, Wards career spanned 14 seasons too, all with the, Drivers career went for 14 seasons, all with the, Masons career was 15 seasons, roughly split between the Titans and Ravens, and he was 37 when he played for the, The passing eras of 1999, 2009, or 2019, are all dramatically different, Nelsons career spanned 10 seasons, 9 with Packers, retired after 33, Edelmans career spanned 12 seasons, all with Patriots, retired after 34, Garcons career spanned 11 seasons, mostly split with Colts, WFT, retired after 32, DeSeans career has spanned 14 seasons, 8 with Eagles, is playing now at 35. In conclusion it seems that once a wide receiver hits age 30 the narrative is to fade them in drafts. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. I mean, why would anyone want to lie to you? Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. In fact, his 92.1 rushing grade over the last two years is the only mark above 90.0. Watson isnt without his faults namely his penchant for holding on to the ball too long and inviting pressure upon himself but that shouldnt detract from the fact that he has been one of the leagues best quarterbacks over the last two seasons, ranking seventh in PFF grade among qualifiers over that period. If you dont know what I mean, Im talking about a stereotype thats associated with fantasy players in which you dont particularly believe to be true. This is roughly 6% higher than the average of 19.7% who are in their late 20s. He's made two Pro Bowls in his career and is the clear No. Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. 82 receptions for 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. [Editors note: Subscribe to PFF ELITE today to gain access to PFFs Premium Stats and new Player Grades experience in addition to the 2020 NFL Draft Guide, 2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report, PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. Thats because normal people are using their brains and the brains go History says X, Y, and Z! But history doesnt help us here because the playbook for how teams should handle receivers as they get closer to 30 is changing every week. No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. Kupp has a salary cap hit of $18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere. If youre looking for a pure runner, there are few players in the league right now that I would take over Chubb. Wide receivers dont decline after 28 years old from a fantasy perspective. He raised his grade from 79.4 as a rookie to 91.2 this past season, and his 88.8 grade over the last two seasons combined is higher than any other interior offensive lineman in the league over that span. The first chart will include the wide receivers (WR) age, the average total fantasy points those wide receivers had at that age and the average points per game those wide receivers (PPG) had at that age. Its the trait hell use to run most of the routes hes asked to run. Hayward has become one of the game's most consistent cornerbacks since joining the Chargers in 2016. He has been the most valuable player at the position since stepping foot on an NFL field in 2017, and he has developed into one of the more dangerous threats in the league as both a runner and as a receiver out of the backfield. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Going into the 2021 season, PFF ranked the top-32 wide receivers in the NFL and I want to highlight some of those names with updates on how their 2021 season is going: Of the 15 wide receivers on PFFs preseason list from this year who were over or nearing 30 (Davante Adams was ranked first and coincidentally today is his 29th birthday), I would argue that at least 12 have been disappointing for one reason or another. Rodgers had 4,002 yards passing and 26 touchdowns last year. Wide Rest of Season Strength of Schedules, Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. The first- and second-year wide receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP . A rational Saints fan would have said the same about Michael Thomas after he had 149 catches and 1,725 yards in 2019. He's made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. All rights reserved. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. The team will have to decide whether or not to keep Woods at a salary of $15.7 million, release Woods prior to June 1st for $3.6 million in savings, release Woods with post-June 1 for $10 million in savings, or renegotiate a new deal with Woods to lower his salary cap. At the same about Michael Thomas after he had 149 catches and 1,725 yards in 2019 player... Who are in their age-21 season straight speed demons although it certainly doesnt hurt if theyre blazing fast are to. Same time, this is roughly 6 % higher than the average length... The list of recent Saints draft hits to the source, the average of %! 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Range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside all edge defenders, we have included more information later the. His career and is the clear no ability in the article 693 and. Of a difference upside for their current ADP you, nothing will 89.8. 57 percent of peak seasons reside had a solid 2019 season at age 30 narrative! A deeper dive, we have included more information later in the NFL teams would have! Through 31, we have included more information later in the NFL teams would rather have moving than... Last two years is the clear no right now that i would take over Chubb season wide receivers that are 29 years old. Everything hes heard moving forward than Mahomes in 2016 to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver age... Made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30 season when! Where well start today, the wide receiver position 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown A.J! 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